Append-only AI overlay records; the canon claim file is never mutated.
Unresolvedconfidence: low · Fable (Claude), via Cursor · run 2026-08-22-fable-1 · unreviewed draft
Unquantified anecdote; a cheap desk pilot could change this quickly.
Unresolvedconfidence: high · Gemini 3.1 Pro (Google) — independent check run via gemini-3.1-pro-preview · run 2026-08-23-check-gemini · unreviewed draft
The claim relies exclusively on anecdotal observations of tourists failing to reproduce characteristic scoop marks at the Aswan quarry. There has been no systematic, quantified field survey of wear rates or attempt hours. The strongest opposing consideration is that the casual efforts of unskilled visitors are a fundamentally flawed proxy for trained, well-equipped ancient labor forces.
Unresolvedconfidence: low · GPT-5.1 (OpenAI) — independent check run via gpt-5.1 · run 2026-08-23-check-gpt · unreviewed draft
The support (GEO‑E003) is a qualitative report by Fóti that tourists at Aswan cannot reproduce scoop marks on a test block despite being given ancient pounders, with no data on number of attempts, strike duration, skill level, or precise wear patterns over time. Without a structured observational or experimental study, this remains an anecdote that might reflect only brief, unskilled efforts. The strongest opposing consideration is that even if entirely accurate, tourist behavior is a poor proxy for trained ancient crews working systematically, so failure in this context would not challenge the pounding hypothesis strongly.
Unresolvedconfidence: high · Grok 4.6 (xAI) — independent check run via grok-4.6 · run 2026-08-23-check-grok · unreviewed draft
The tourist-pounding story is reported only in proponent literature, and attempt rates, cumulative person-hours, and wear on the designated block have never been surveyed. Casual visitor effort is a weak proxy for skilled, organized labor even if the anecdote is accurate. The strongest opposing consideration is that decades of public pounding with original dolerite stones, if documented and still mark-free, would at least motivate a serious replication; that documentation does not exist in this file.
Unresolvedconfidence: moderate · Kimi K3 (Moonshot, via Venice) — independent check run via kimi-k3 · run 2026-08-23-check-kimi · unreviewed draft
The claim is an absence-of-documentation claim supported only by a proponent's anecdotal report (GEO-E003): no attempt rates, cumulative person-hours, or wear survey of the test block exist. Casual tourists striking briefly for novelty are also a weak proxy for organized skilled labor, so even a verified null would carry little weight — the claim's diagnosticity is low by construction. The strongest opposing consideration is that decades of unstructured attempts without documented success is not nothing; it is at least consistent with the slow measured rate of GEO-E001. But nothing here has been systematically observed, so unresolved is the honest call — this claim awaits its first measurement rather than having failed one.
Unresolvedconfidence: moderate · Opus 5 (Anthropic) — independent check run via claude-opus-5 · run 2026-08-23-check-opus · unreviewed draft
The claim rests entirely on GEO-E003, a proponent's report that no tourist has ever reproduced a scoop mark, with attempt rates, cumulative person-hours, and block wear all unquantified. As framed it is close to unfalsifiable: absence of documented success is guaranteed when nobody documents attempts. The strongest opposing consideration is that even if fully verified the observation would carry little weight, since brief unskilled novelty strikes are a poor proxy for organized crews using maintained tools — the claim motivates a field survey rather than supporting anything.
Unresolvedconfidence: low · anthropic/claude-fable-5 (scheduled maintenance run) · run 2026-08-24-auto-f2tn · unreviewed draft
Unchanged: unquantified anecdote (GEO-E003) with no systematic survey of attempts or effort.
Unresolvedconfidence: low · anthropic/claude-opus-5 (scheduled maintenance run) · run 2026-08-25-auto-7ajr · unreviewed draft
Unchanged: unquantified anecdote (GEO-E003) with no survey of attempts, effort, or test-block wear.
Unresolvedconfidence: low · anthropic/claude-opus-5 (scheduled maintenance run) · run 2026-08-25-auto-yrml · unreviewed draft
Unquantified anecdote (GEO-E003) with no record of attempt rates, cumulative effort, or systematic survey of the test block's wear.
Unresolvedconfidence: high · Gemini 3.1 Pro (Google) — independent check run via gemini-3.1-pro-preview · run 2026-08-25-check-gemini · unreviewed draft
Proponents claim that decades of casual tourist attempts using pounding stones have failed to reproduce characteristic Aswan scoop marks. The strongest opposing consideration is that untrained visitors working briefly for novelty are a meaningless proxy for specialized, organized ancient workforces applying sustained effort with maintained tools.
Unresolvedconfidence: low · GPT-5.1 (OpenAI) — independent check run via gpt-5.1 · run 2026-08-25-check-gpt · unreviewed draft
The notion that decades of tourist attempts have failed to reproduce Aswan scoop marks (GEO-E003) rests entirely on anecdotal reporting by a proponent author, with no systematic data on number of attempts, duration, or wear characterization of the test block. Even if rigorously documented, casual visitor efforts would be a very weak proxy for organized, skilled ancient labor. The strongest opposing consideration is thus both evidential (absence of structured measurement) and conceptual: failure by untrained tourists tells us little about what specialized quarry crews could accomplish.
Unresolvedconfidence: high · Grok 4.6 (xAI) — independent check run via grok-4.6 · run 2026-08-25-check-grok · unreviewed draft
The only support is Fóti's anecdotal report that visitors striking the designated Aswan test block have never reproduced a scoop mark; attempt rates, cumulative person-hours, and wear on the block have never been surveyed. Casual tourist pounding is a weak proxy for skilled, shift- organized labor even if the anecdote is roughly true. The strongest opposing consideration is that unskilled, brief novelty strikes tell us almost nothing about trained crews, so the observation currently motivates a field survey rather than carrying any weight.
Unresolvedconfidence: moderate · Kimi K3 (Moonshot, via Venice) — independent check run via kimi-k3 · run 2026-08-25-check-kimi · unreviewed draft
The only record (GEO-E003) is a proponent's report that decades of tourist pounding on the designated test block produced no scoop mark: an anecdotal, unquantified observation with no survey of attempt rates, cumulative person-hours, or block wear. The strongest opposing consideration is that even a systematically verified version would be a weak proxy, since casual unskilled effort says little about trained crews working organized shifts with maintained tools. The claim motivates a field study (GEO-R002's extension and the T-001 survey) rather than substituting for one. Until wear and attempts are documented, there is nothing to weigh.
Unresolvedconfidence: moderate · Opus 5 (Anthropic) — independent check run via claude-opus-5 · run 2026-08-25-check-opus · unreviewed draft
The only record is Fóti's report (GEO-E003) that no visitor has reproduced a scoop mark, with attempt rates, cumulative person-hours, and block wear all unquantified, and no systematic survey in existence. As literally worded — no documented success — the claim is close to trivially true simply because nobody documents anything at that block, which makes it uninformative rather than confirmed. The strongest opposing consideration is that even a rigorously verified null would be a poor proxy for trained crews working shifts with maintained tools, so the observation motivates a study rather than carrying one. Fóti's record of three corrected characterizations elsewhere in this case argues for caution on his unverified second-hand reports.
Unresolvedconfidence: low · anthropic/claude-opus-5 (reconsideration — deliberately non-blind: engages the panel's dissents) · run 2026-08-25-reconsider-1ql8 · unreviewed draft
Unquantified anecdote (GEO-E003) with no survey of attempts, effort, or test-block wear.
Unresolvedconfidence: low · anthropic/claude-opus-5 (scheduled maintenance run) · run 2026-08-26-auto-cxy1 · unreviewed draft
Unquantified anecdote (GEO-E003) with no record of attempt rates, cumulative effort, or test-block wear.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · Gemini 3.8 Flash (Google) — independent check run via gemini-3.8-flash · run 2026-09-08-check-gemini-180404 · unreviewed draft
The evidence for this claim consists entirely of informal, unquantified anecdotes reported by Fóti (GEO-E003) regarding tourist attempts on a designated test block at Aswan. There are no standardized striking trials, quantified cumulative impact logs, or controlled surface surveys evaluating tool-stone interaction at the site. Strongest opposing consideration: Even if casual visitor strikes produced negligible surface removal, brief and untrained blows provide no meaningful baseline for evaluating sustained professional quarrying techniques.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · GLM 5.3 Flash (Z.ai, via Venice) — independent check run via z-ai-glm-5-3-flash · run 2026-09-08-check-glm-162528 · unreviewed draft
The claim rests entirely on Fóti's anecdotal report of failed tourist reproduction attempts, with no quantification of attempts, cumulative effort, or systematic wear survey of the test block. Nothing contradicts it, but a documented-absence claim of this shape needs systematic recording this ledger does not contain.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · GLM 5.3 Flash (Z.ai, via Venice) — independent check run via z-ai-glm-5-3-flash · run 2026-09-08-check-glm-180404 · unreviewed draft
The observation rests on Fóti's anecdotal report with unquantified attempt rates and no systematic wear survey of the test block (GEO-E003's limitations). A null result from uncontrolled tourist attempts is weak evidence for anything.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · GPT-5.6 Sol (OpenAI) — independent check run via gpt-5.6-sol · run 2026-09-08-check-gpt-162528 · unreviewed draft
GEO-E003 reports that visitors attempting the designated Aswan test have not reproduced a scoop mark, and GEO-E002 provides context for questioning the traditional pounding account. No attempt count, cumulative effort, participant technique, or systematic survey of the test block is supplied. The strongest opposing consideration is that casual visitor trials are not controlled replications by trained workers and cannot establish a meaningful failure rate.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · GPT-5.6 Sol (OpenAI) — independent check run via gpt-5.6-sol · run 2026-09-08-check-gpt-180404 · unreviewed draft
GEO-E003 reports that visitor attempts with dolerite pounders have not reproduced a scoop mark on the designated block. No attempt count, cumulative duration, protocol or systematic surface survey is supplied, so “decades” does not translate into a measurable experimental exposure. The strongest opposing consideration is that casual visitor strikes are not an adequate test of sustained work by trained crews.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · Grok 4.5 (xAI) — independent check run via grok-4.5 · run 2026-09-08-check-grok-162528 · unreviewed draft
Support is Fóti’s report that visitor attempts on the designated Aswan test block have produced no documented scoop-mark success—anecdotal, unquantified effort, no systematic wear survey. Strongest opposing consideration: absence of tourist success under uncontrolled conditions does not prove ancient crews could not form scoops with dolerite under sustained professional practice.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · Grok 4.5 (xAI) — independent check run via grok-4.5 · run 2026-09-08-check-grok-180404 · unreviewed draft
Fóti reports collective visitor failure to reproduce scoop marks on the designated Aswan test block with original dolerite pounders, but the claim is anecdotal with unquantified attempt rates and no systematic wear survey. Strongest opposing consideration is that tourist effort is not equivalent to trained quarrying crews working systematically over extended periods.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · Opus 5 (Anthropic) — independent check run via claude-opus-5 · run 2026-09-08-check-opus-162528 · unreviewed draft
As literally stated the claim is about the absence of documented success, which is nearly unfalsifiable in a setting where nobody documents anything; unrecorded casual tourist strikes are not an experiment. The single supporting record is an anecdote in a proponent book with attempt rates and cumulative effort unquantified, and no wear survey of the test block exists. The strongest opposing consideration is that scoop marks under the orthodox account are the product of sustained skilled work over days, so brief unskilled attempts failing is exactly what the orthodox account also predicts — the observation does not discriminate.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · Opus 5 (Anthropic) — independent check run via claude-opus-5 · run 2026-09-08-check-opus-180404 · unreviewed draft
As literally worded — "no documented success" — the claim is nearly self-fulfilling, since no one documents casual tourist attempts at all, and the sole source is an anecdotal proponent report with attempt counts and cumulative effort unquantified. It is probably true and almost uninformative. The strongest opposing consideration is that unmotivated visitors striking a block for seconds is not a test of a technique that the Marčiš experiment shows removes on the order of a few cubic centimetres per minute of sustained skilled work.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · claude-fable-5-1 · run 2026-09-08-edition-142638 · unreviewed draft
GEO-E003 is a proponent anecdote with no attempt counts, no effort quantification, and no survey of the test block; GEO-E002 is context only. Nothing contradicts it, but an unquantified absence is weak evidence of anything.
Weakly supportedconfidence: moderate · claude-fable-5-1 · run 2026-09-08-edition-161325 · unreviewed draft
GEO-E003 (weak) is a proponent's anecdote; attempts are uncounted, effort unquantified, the test block's wear unexamined.
Unresolvedconfidence: low · none — mechanical migration (scripts/migrations/2026-09-08-editions.ts) · run 2026-09-08-migration-geopolymer · unreviewed draft
Anecdotal: attempt rates, cumulative person-hours, and wear on the block have never been systematically surveyed.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · Gemini 3.8 Flash (Google) — independent check run via gemini-3.8-flash · run 2026-09-09-check-gemini-003323 · unreviewed draft
This claim rests exclusively on an informal, anecdotal observation reported in Fóti (2024). There has been no systematic monitoring, strike counting, photogrammetric wear assessment, or documented experimental protocol governing tourist attempts on the test block. The strongest opposing consideration is that uncoordinated, brief blows by casual tourists cannot serve as a valid test of skilled ancient pounding stone dynamics.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · Gemini 3.8 Flash (Google) — independent check run via gemini-3.8-flash · run 2026-09-09-check-gemini-010257 · unreviewed draft
This claim relies on an anecdotal observation by Fóti (GEO-E003) regarding unmonitored tourist attempts to create scoop marks on an Aswan test block. There is no controlled measurement, systematic logging, or quantified study of cumulative strikes by visitors. The strongest opposing consideration is that random strikes by unconditioned tourists using handheld rocks cannot test whether systematic, professional pounding by ancient quarrymen creates characteristic concavities.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · Gemini 3.8 Flash (Google) — independent check run via gemini-3.8-flash · run 2026-09-09-check-gemini-011431 · unreviewed draft
The report of tourist attempts failing to reproduce scoop marks on the Aswan test block rests entirely on anecdotal observations reported by Fóti (2024) without experimental controls, quantified hours, or standardized monitoring. Such uncontrolled attempts do not constitute systematic experimental archaeology. The strongest opposing consideration is that informal visitor trials are inherently disorganized and lack the repetitive force, biomechanics, and tool maintenance of professional ancient quarrymen.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · Gemini 3.8 Flash (Google) — independent check run via gemini-3.8-flash · run 2026-09-09-check-gemini-071906 · unreviewed draft
This claim relies on an informal, anecdotal observation reported by Fóti regarding casual visitor attempts on a display test block at the Aswan quarry. There are no documented strike logs, standardized biomechanical parameters, or measured volumetric assessments recording these tourist attempts. The strongest opposing consideration is that informal, untrained tourist strikes on an unanchored surface do not constitute a controlled experimental test of skilled stone-masonry techniques.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · GLM 5.3 Flash (Z.ai, via Venice) — independent check run via z-ai-glm-5-3-flash · run 2026-09-09-check-glm-003323 · unreviewed draft
The claim rests entirely on Fóti's anecdotal report of failed tourist reproduction attempts, with unquantified attempt rates, cumulative effort, and no systematic wear survey of the test block. A scoop mark is a specialized geometry that casual striking may fail to produce for reasons unrelated to the orthodox account, which is the strongest opposing consideration. Directionally interesting, evidentially thin.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · GLM 5.3 Flash (Z.ai, via Venice) — independent check run via z-ai-glm-5-3-flash · run 2026-09-09-check-glm-010257 · unreviewed draft
The claim is a reported absence — decades of visitor attempts producing no documented scoop-mark reproduction — and the only record is Fóti's anecdote, explicitly unquantified in attempt rates and cumulative effort, with no systematic wear survey of the test block. Absence of documented success under uncontrolled conditions is a real but weak observation; Engelbach's own thin experimental basis (GEO-C502) makes the orthodox account vulnerable, but this anecdote does not fill the gap.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · GLM 5.3 Flash (Z.ai, via Venice) — independent check run via z-ai-glm-5-3-flash · run 2026-09-09-check-glm-011431 · unreviewed draft
The only carrier is Fóti's anecdotal report (GEO-E003) with unquantified attempt rates, no wear survey, and proponent sourcing. A true null result of decades of cumulative attempts would be meaningful; the ledger simply cannot verify the observation's existence or scope. Low confidence is generous given the provenance.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · GLM 5.3 Flash (Z.ai, via Venice) — independent check run via z-ai-glm-5-3-flash · run 2026-09-09-check-glm-071906 · unreviewed draft
The observation is anecdotal, reported by the proponents (GEO-E003), with attempt rates and cumulative effort unquantified and no systematic survey of the test block's wear. The strongest opposing consideration is that decades of casual tourist attempts could amount to trivially small effective pounding effort, in which case the null result is uninformative.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · GPT-5.6 Sol (OpenAI) — independent check run via gpt-5.6-sol · run 2026-09-09-check-gpt-003323 · unreviewed draft
GEO-E003 reports that visitors using dolerite pounders have not reproduced a scoop mark, but the assertion is anecdotal and provides no attempt count, effort duration, success criterion, or systematic survey. The strongest opposing consideration is that informal tourist strikes are not a controlled reproduction attempt and cannot establish what skilled crews could achieve.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · GPT-5.6 Sol (OpenAI) — independent check run via gpt-5.6-sol · run 2026-09-09-check-gpt-010257 · unreviewed draft
GEO-E003 reports that visitors using dolerite pounders have not successfully reproduced a scoop mark on the designated test block. The attempts, effort, participant technique, and criteria for success were not recorded systematically, so the claimed decades-long absence of documented success cannot be audited. The strongest opposing consideration is that casual visitor strikes are not a controlled proxy for trained quarry workers.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · GPT-5.6 Sol (OpenAI) — independent check run via gpt-5.6-sol · run 2026-09-09-check-gpt-011431 · unreviewed draft
GEO-E003 reports that visitor attempts at the designated Aswan test block have not reproduced a scoop mark, which supports the claim at an anecdotal level. No attempt count, cumulative working time, participant technique, success criterion, or systematic surface survey is supplied. The strongest opposing consideration is that undocumented casual attempts are not a controlled test of what skilled workers could produce.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · GPT-5.6 Sol (OpenAI) — independent check run via gpt-5.6-sol · run 2026-09-09-check-gpt-071906 · unreviewed draft
GEO-E003 reports that visitor attempts have not reproduced a scoop mark, but the number, duration, technique, and documentation of those attempts are unspecified. GEO-E002 provides historical context for the pounding account without independently documenting the visitor experiment. The strongest opposing consideration is that untrained, brief visitor strikes are not a controlled test of skilled quarrying and cannot establish decades of uniformly unsuccessful attempts.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · Grok 4.5 (xAI) — independent check run via grok-4.5 · run 2026-09-09-check-grok-003323 · unreviewed draft
Fóti reports collective visitor failure to reproduce scoop marks on the designated Aswan test block with original pounders; the report is anecdotal, with unquantified attempt rates and no systematic wear survey. Strongest opposing consideration is the lack of controlled or documented experimental protocol.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · Grok 4.5 (xAI) — independent check run via grok-4.5 · run 2026-09-09-check-grok-010257 · unreviewed draft
Fóti reports that decades of visitor attempts on the designated Aswan test block have produced no documented scoop-mark success. The claim is anecdotal, attempt counts and cumulative energy unquantified, and no wear survey of the block exists. Strongest opposing consideration is the lack of systematic data; absence of tourist success does not equal impossibility for trained crews.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · Grok 4.5 (xAI) — independent check run via grok-4.5 · run 2026-09-09-check-grok-011431 · unreviewed draft
Fóti reports collective visitor failure to reproduce a scoop mark on the designated Aswan test block with original pounders. Attempt counts and cumulative effort are unquantified and no systematic wear survey exists, so the observation is anecdotal. Strongest opposing consideration is that tourist trials are not skilled quarry-crew trials and absence of documented success is not proof of impossibility.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · Grok 4.5 (xAI) — independent check run via grok-4.5 · run 2026-09-09-check-grok-071906 · unreviewed draft
Fóti reports that visitor attempts on the designated Aswan test block with original dolerite pounders have produced no documented scoop-mark success. Strongest opposing consideration is that the report is anecdotal: cumulative effort, attempt counts, and systematic wear surveys are unquantified, so failure-to-reproduce is suggestive atmosphere rather than measurement.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · Opus 5 (Anthropic) — independent check run via claude-opus-5 · run 2026-09-09-check-opus-003323 · unreviewed draft
The claim is only that no success has been documented, and GEO-E003 is a single proponent's anecdotal report with no attempt count, no cumulative-effort figure, and no survey of the test block's wear. A claim of the form "no documented X" is close to self-fulfilling where nobody documents anything, which drains it of evidential force. The strongest opposing consideration is GEO-E001: controlled pounding demonstrably removes granite at a measurable rate, so casual tourist strikes failing to reproduce a scoop mark is the expected outcome under the orthodox account too and discriminates nothing.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · Opus 5 (Anthropic) — independent check run via claude-opus-5 · run 2026-09-09-check-opus-010257 · unreviewed draft
The claim is about the absence of documented successes, which is a very low bar and is probably literally true, since no one documents outcomes at the test block in either direction. It is close to unfalsifiable as posed and carries almost no inferential weight: casual visitor strikes with no sustained effort, technique or tool maintenance are not a test of a professional quarrying method. The strongest opposing consideration is that Marčiš et al. did produce measurable removal under controlled conditions, so the underlying "it cannot be done" implication is already answered by the better record.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · Opus 5 (Anthropic) — independent check run via claude-opus-5 · run 2026-09-09-check-opus-011431 · unreviewed draft
GEO-E003 is a proponent report with no attempt count, no cumulative-effort measure and no wear survey of the test block; "no documented success" is near-guaranteed where nobody documents anything, making the claim close to unfalsifiable as framed. It is probably locally true in that trivial sense. The strongest opposing consideration is the asymmetry with GEO-E001: casual visitor strikes over unknown durations tell us little when a controlled experiment measured a nonzero removal rate of 216 cm³/h.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · Opus 5 (Anthropic) — independent check run via claude-opus-5 · run 2026-09-09-check-opus-071906 · unreviewed draft
The claim is only that no documented success exists, which is nearly self-fulfilling: nobody documents tourist attempts, attempt counts and cumulative effort are unquantified, and no wear survey of the test block has been made. Fóti is the sole source. The strongest opposing consideration is quantitative: at the Marčiš rate of roughly 216 cm³/h of sustained skilled pounding, a few minutes of casual visitor striking would produce essentially invisible progress, so the reported failure is exactly what the orthodox account predicts and carries no discriminating power. It is weakly true as stated and evidentially inert.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · claude-fable-5-1 · run 2026-09-09-edition-003234 · unreviewed draft
GEO-E003 is a proponent's anecdote: attempt counts, cumulative effort and wear on the test block are all unquantified, and nothing has been surveyed. GEO-E002 supplies only context. No undermining record, but the support is the thinnest kind.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · claude-fable-5-1 · run 2026-09-09-edition-035914 · unreviewed draft
GEO-E003 is an unquantified proponent anecdote; GEO-E002 is context. No survey of attempts or wear exists.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · claude-opus-5-5 · run 2026-09-30-edition-082934 · unreviewed draft
GEO-E003 is Fóti's report of an unquantified visitor experience; GEO-E002 is context. No survey of attempts or of the block's wear exists. Weakly supported, as an anecdote.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · GLM 5.3 Flash (Z.ai, via Venice) — independent check run via z-ai-glm-5-3-flash · run 2026-10-03-check-glm-115839 · unreviewed draft
The claim rests entirely on Fóti's anecdotal report of visitor failures: attempt rates and cumulative effort are unquantified and no systematic wear survey of the test block exists. The strongest opposing consideration is that absence of documented success in an unsystematic tourist setting is a very weak form of negative evidence.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · GPT-5.6 Sol (OpenAI) — independent check run via gpt-5.6-sol · run 2026-10-03-check-gpt-115839 · unreviewed draft
GEO-E003 reports that visitors using dolerite pounders on a designated test block have not reproduced a scoop mark. Attempt numbers, effort, technique, observation period, and the condition of the block were not systematically recorded, so the evidence cannot securely establish the claim's decades-long universal negative. The strongest opposing consideration is that undocumented or poorly executed visitor trials are not a meaningful reproduction experiment.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · Grok 4.5 (xAI) — independent check run via grok-4.5 · run 2026-10-03-check-grok-115839 · unreviewed draft
Fóti reports collective tourist failure to reproduce scoop marks with original pounders (GEO-E003). Entirely anecdotal; effort and wear unquantified. Strongest opposing consideration is absence of systematic measurement or controlled trials.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · Opus 5.5 (Anthropic) — independent check run via claude-opus-5-5 · run 2026-10-03-check-opus-115839 · unreviewed draft
The only record is Fóti's report that visitors striking the designated test block with original pounders have produced no documented scoop mark (GEO-E003). The number and duration of attempts and the block's wear are unquantified and unsurveyed. As a report of absence it is plausible and uncontradicted, which earns weak support. Strongest opposing consideration: the null result is expected under the conventional account. At the measured rate of about 216 cm³/h (GEO-C001), even a hypothetical two-litre depression would take roughly nine hours of continuous pounding, which casual visitor strikes never approach, so the observation does not discriminate.
Weakly supportedconfidence: low · claude-opus-5-5 · run 2026-10-03-edition-115409 · unreviewed draft
GEO-E003 is Fóti's anecdote. Attempts are uncounted and the test block has never been surveyed.