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Zero Worlds · claim ZW-C501 · Observation rung · The observer-first programs

The Fitness-Beats-Truth theorem: in the evolutionary-game-theoretic model of Prakash et al., perceptual strategies tuned only to fitness payoffs generically outcompete strategies tuned to the true structure of the world.

Not featured in the current editionAI-extractedorigin: Prakash, Stephens, Hoffman, Singh & Fields 2021, abstract

source anchor

Acta Biotheoretica 69(3): 319–341, abstract

Evidence

Supports· moderateZW-E011

The FBT theorem: fitness-only perception generically beats truth-tracking

what the source states
Formalizing perceptual evolution in evolutionary game theory and Bayesian decision theory, the authors state and prove the "Fitness-Beats-Truth (FBT) Theorem": under the model's assumptions, a strategy maximizing expected-fitness payoff consistently outcompetes one tuned to the true structure of the objective world.
what we infer
Supports precisely the interface half of Hoffman's position — that perception need not be veridical — and nothing beyond it. The chain "selection need not favor truth, therefore consciousness is fundamental, therefore quantum mechanics" adds two non-sequiturs to one theorem; the case keeps the theorem and prices the additions separately.
limitations
  • A theorem inside a specified game-theoretic model; how far its payoff structures describe actual perceptual evolution is an empirical question the paper does not settle.
Prakash, C. (2021)AI-verified citation

an honest empty state

This claim is in the ledger but not in the current edition's featured set. Nothing here has been assessed — that absence is information, not an oversight.

Still missing: plain-language gloss, credibility assessment, diagnosticity assessment, strongest objection, what would change our mind. A claim gains them when an edition features it and the edition's adopted assessment supplies the full treatment — a decision the panel reviews, not a field anyone flips.