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Before Sputnik · claim TRN-C133 · Observation rung · Plate forensics and copy genealogy

The two adjacent hotspot cells centered at 92.5° W (Hotspots 5 and 8) were associated exclusively with a single plate, XE435.

Not featured in the current editionAI-extractedorigin: split of TRN-C120 (report 2026-09-10-inbox-transients-173613)

source anchor

[p. 6]

“showed a transient excess beyond expectations on at least two”

Evidence

Supports· moderateTRN-E077

Hotspot preprint: most hotspot cells are fed by more than one plate; two by a single plate (XE435) — part 3

what the source states
The two adjacent cells centered at 92.5° W (Hotspots 5 and 8) "were associated exclusively with a single plate, XE435" (Supplemental Table 1).
what we infer
Useful against the single-bad-plate explanation for most cells, though the two highest-O/E cells after the Pacific ones (5 and 8, O/E 16.6 and 9.9) are single-plate. The paper also concedes (p. 17) that because both methods use the same transient sample, "their agreement alone does not rule out this possibility" of defect-driven hotspots.
limitations
  • Plate overlap is defined in projected coordinates, not on the sky
  • Per-plate significance tested at unadjusted p<0.05
  • Second reader (claude-sonnet-5, 2026-09-10, run 2026-09-10-verify-transients-174405, verify-v5) disputes the stated direction toward TRN-C132: The quote accurately reports that Hotspots 5 and 8 were the two exceptions tied to a single plate (XE435), consistent with Supplemental Table 1 showing one contributing plate for each. However, this passage does not itself assert or establish that the other 14 hotspots showed excess on at least two plates (TRN-C132); it merely identifies the complementary exception cells, so it bears on the topic without directly supporting the claim's specific numerical finding, making 'context' the more accurate direction than 'supports'.
Stephen Bruehl (2026)AI-verified citation

an honest empty state

This claim is in the ledger but not in the current edition's featured set. Nothing here has been assessed — that absence is information, not an oversight.

Still missing: plain-language gloss, credibility assessment, diagnosticity assessment, strongest objection, what would change our mind. A claim gains them when an edition features it and the edition's adopted assessment supplies the full treatment — a decision the panel reviews, not a field anyone flips.