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Plate Sensitivity Is Invariant Across Geomagnetic Storm Intensity at Harvard and Palomar: A Protocol for Artifact Control in Historical Plate Archive Studies

Cann, K. · 2026

AI-verified citationSRC-CANN-2026B
identifier / locator
arXiv: 2604.16470 (submitted 2026-04-09; revised 2026-05-04)
url
https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.16470
verification note
arXiv record retrieved and abstract read 2026-08-24: 12,510 Harvard exposures and 638 Palomar fields tested against the Kp index, no significant trend in stellar counts or limiting magnitude, airglow constrained to ≤12% of POSS-I transient suppression at 95% CI. Full text not read.
reliability notes
  • A negative control paper: it tests and rejects one specific environmental confounder rather than arguing for the transient interpretation.
  • Unreviewed preprint; the reference populations (star counts, limiting magnitude) are proxies for plate sensitivity, not direct measurements of transient detectability.

Evidence drawn from this source

Supports· moderateTRN-E017

Cann 2026b: geomagnetic activity does not change plate sensitivity — one artifact route closed

what the source states
Testing 12,510 Harvard exposures and 638 Palomar fields against the Kp geomagnetic index, the paper reports no significant trend in reference populations (stellar counts, limiting magnitude) with storm intensity, and constrains atmospheric airglow to ≤12% of the reported POSS-I transient suppression at 95% confidence. It presents this as a general protocol for artifact control in historical plate archives.
what we infer
Does the useful negative work that most of this literature does not: it names a specific environmental confounder that could manufacture the temporal patterns, tests it against reference populations, and reports that it does not survive. That does not make the nuclear-window correlation real — it removes one way of making it spurious, which is a different and smaller thing. Recorded here because the artifact-versus-signal question in this case has largely been argued rather than measured, and this is a measurement.
limitations
  • Star counts and limiting magnitude are proxies for plate sensitivity; a confounder acting specifically on transient-like detections rather than on general sensitivity would not be caught by this test.
  • Unreviewed preprint from within the proponent-adjacent author network.
  • Closes one confounder among many; the Watters et al. critique's central objections concern the null distribution and observation-day normalization, which this does not address.