Fire From the Sky · source record · paper

Bayesian chronological analyses consistent with synchronous age of 12,835–12,735 Cal B.P. for Younger Dryas boundary on four continents

Kennett, J. P.; Kennett, D. J.; Culleton, B. J.; et al. (26 authors total) · 2015

AI-verified citationSRC-KENNETT-2015

identifier / locator: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112(32). DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1507146112
verification note: Confirmed via Crossref (2026-08-22 batch): title, first author, journal, volume, issue, and 26-author count match. Crossref also records a correction to this paper dated 2024-07-08 (DOI 10.1073/pnas.2411213121); the correction's content was not reviewed for this case.
reliability notes: Proponent-team Bayesian chronology; critics argue date selection and boundary assignment were partly circular (the horizon is assigned by the same framework being tested).

Evidence drawn from this source

Supports· moderateYDIH-E020

what the source states: Bayesian chronological modeling of radiocarbon dates from boundary sites on four continents concluded the data are consistent with a synchronous Younger Dryas boundary age of 12,835–12,735 cal BP.
what we infer: The proponents' formal answer to the chronology audit. "Consistent with synchrony" is weaker than "demonstrates synchrony": the model's force depends on which dates and boundary assignments enter it, which is exactly what critics contest — and the paper carries a 2024 correction (content not reviewed here).
limitations: Date inclusion/exclusion rules and boundary assignments were not independent of the event hypothesis (the circularity objection).
2024 correction recorded by Crossref; unreviewed.