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Elusive by Law · source record · paper

A Preliminary Test of the Model of Pragmatic Information Using Cases of Spontaneous Anomalous Experience

Watt, C.; Tierney, I. · 2013

AI-verified citationSRC-WATT-TIERNEY-2013
identifier / locator
Journal of Consciousness Studies 20(11–12): 205–220
url
https://koestlerunit.wordpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/watt_jcs_author_proof.pdf
verification note
Author proof read in full (Koestler Parapsychology Unit archive); page range confirmed against the publisher's issue page on IngentaConnect.
reliability notes
  • Independent of Lucadou's group (Koestler Unit, Edinburgh), though Lucadou advised on the design.
  • Severely underpowered by the authors' own account: 14 completed cases against a planned larger sample.

Evidence drawn from this source

Qualifies· weakMPI-E013

Watt & Tierney 2013: MPI's first field test returns null, underpowered

what the source states
A three-year, sixteen-country collaborative study — described by its authors as the first systematic test of the MPI — used a waiting-list design on spontaneous RSPK-type cases, predicting that cases viewed and documented in detail would show reduced anomalous experiences relative to undocumented cases. Of 43 referrals, 14 cases completed the study (6 documented). "Analysis of the two formal study hypotheses did not provide support for the predictions of the MPI, and it was concluded that this aspect of the research was of limited success due to low statistical power."
what we infer
The only attempt to test MPI's documentation-suppresses-phenomena prediction outside the laboratory. As evidence it is nearly mute — 14 cases cannot decide anything — but it demonstrates that the model's field predictions are operationalizable, which matters for MPI-C010.
limitations
  • Severely underpowered (14 completed cases against the planned sample).
  • Referral flow collapsed for documented sociological reasons (rise of amateur ghost-hunting groups), confounding the recruitment base.
Watt, C. (2013)AI-verified citationMPI-C007