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Before Sputnik · claim explorer

Claims

24 featured claims with full treatment and a 12-claim unreviewed catalog below. Every claim shows its provenance — most of this case is AI-extracted and unreviewed, and the interface says so.

headline claims

featured, by theme

The canonical events (1950 and 1952)3 ▸
Image morphology and profiles2 ▸
Population statistics and correlations7 ▸
TRN-C005Observation

The ~107,875-object VASCO working catalog shows a deficit of transient candidates inside the modeled Earth shadow at geosynchronous altitude (roughly 0.46% observed against 1.4% geometric expectation).

MixedAI-extracteddiagnosticity: moderate
TRN-C129Observation

The Earth-shadow deficit becomes stronger at all tested altitudes after applying the quality filtering.

Provisionally supportedAI-extracteddiagnosticity: low
TRN-C006Observation

Transient-candidate detection rates in the ~107,875-object VASCO working catalog are elevated within one day of atmospheric nuclear weapons tests (relative risk approximately 1.45).

MixedAI-extracteddiagnosticity: low
TRN-C103Observation

Transient-candidate detection rates in the VASCO working catalog decline monotonically with geomagnetic activity (Kp index), and controlling for Kp strengthens the reported nuclear-window association.

UnresolvedAI-extracteddiagnosticity: low
TRN-C104Observation

Some POSS-I multiple-transient events are reported to form linear alignments consistent with point sources along a shared sky-projected path.

UnresolvedAI-extracteddiagnosticity: low
TRN-C119Observation

When p ≥ 0.70 VASCO transients and plate-aware random controls are projected onto a shell at 35,786 km altitude and binned in 5°×5° Earth-fixed cells, 16 of the 137 cells with at least 5 expected transients show an excess over control expectation that is significant after Bonferroni correction.

Provisionally supportedAI-extracteddiagnosticity: low
TRN-C122Observation

Random control samples of 897 plate-aware positions, projected and clustered by the same two-step procedure, produce two or three clusters with average silhouette values of 0.50–0.60, meeting or exceeding the 0.50 threshold the authors adopt as indicating non-random clustering.

Provisionally supportedAI-extracteddiagnosticity: moderate
Plate forensics and copy genealogy2 ▸
Independent searches and replications3 ▸
The attribution ladder7 ▸
TRN-C022 · headlineAttribution

Artificial objects capable of producing the reported plate detections were present near Earth before the launch of Sputnik 1 in October 1957.

UnresolvedAI-extracteddiagnosticity: high
TRN-C023Attribution

The reflective objects responsible for pre-Sputnik plate transients were extraterrestrial technological artifacts.

Presently untestableAI-extracteddiagnosticity: indeterminate
TRN-C021Attribution

At least some of the disputed pre-Sputnik flashes were sunlight reflected from objects physically near Earth (at geosynchronous-like altitudes) rather than light from distant astronomical sources.

UnresolvedAI-extracteddiagnosticity: moderate
TRN-C020 · headlineAttribution

At least some of the disputed pre-Sputnik plate marks were produced by light entering the telescope during the original exposure, rather than being introduced afterwards in the emulsion, the copying chain, or digitization.

UnresolvedAI-extracteddiagnosticity: high
TRN-C108Attribution

The near-Earth reflective population responsible for the Earth-shadow deficit in the VASCO working catalog lies at characteristic altitudes of approximately 20,000–35,000 km above Earth's surface.

UnresolvedAI-extracteddiagnosticity: low
TRN-C117Attribution

The millimetre-scale particle sizes of the dusty-plasma mechanism proposed for the POSS-I transients are inconsistent with the centimetre-to-metre facet sizes inferred from transient magnitudes under the specular-reflection model, so a dusty-plasma origin is excluded unless the size inference is substantially revised.

Weakly supportedAI-extracteddiagnosticity: low
TRN-C118Attribution

Among the toy models considered by the VASCO group (natural reflective bodies, dusty plasma, non-human intelligence), only a non-human-intelligence scenario simultaneously accommodates all five reported features: narrower-than-stellar PSFs, groupings, the Earth-shadow deficit, the nuclear-test temporal correlation, and the geomagnetic-index anticorrelation.

Weakly supportedAI-extracteddiagnosticity: low

The unreviewed catalog

12 claims in the ledger that the current edition does not feature — most extracted from the source literature and imported without individual human review. Each is one atomic statement with its anchor; none carries a judgment until an edition features it and its adopted assessment supplies the full treatment.

Image morphology and profiles2 ▸
Population statistics and correlations7 ▸
TRN-C105 · report 2026-09-10-inbox-transients-173613Observation

When the Earth-shadow deficit D = 1 − f_obs/f_control is recomputed on the complete 107,875-row VASCO working catalog for assumed shell altitudes of 20,000–60,000 km, the deficit is largest at an assumed altitude of 25,000 km (D ≈ 0.57) rather than at geosynchronous altitude.

AI-extracted[p. 8]
TRN-C107 · report 2026-09-10-inbox-transients-173613Observation

A χ² comparison of the observed deficit-versus-antisolar-angle profile of the complete VASCO working catalog against spherical-shell shadow models yields its minimum at an assumed altitude of 20,000 km above Earth's surface for each of the fitting intervals 0–18°, 0–20° and 0–25°.

AI-extracted[p. 11]
TRN-C130 · split of TRN-C109 (report 2026-09-10-inbox-transients-173613)Observation

Among high-probability transients (p > 0.7, 100° < R.A. < 250°, Dec. > 3°), a significant excess is observed at low declinations (∼5–20°), where the transient counts exceed the expectations from the control sample by factors of approximately 30–75%.

AI-extracted[p. 9]
TRN-C110 · report 2026-09-10-inbox-transients-173613Observation

High-probability VASCO transients are depleted, relative to control expectation, in the region of the sky near the ecliptic plane.

AI-extracted[p. 21]
TRN-C116 · report 2026-09-10-inbox-transients-173613Observation

Transient detection dates in the VASCO working catalog show no statistically robust temporal association with annual meteor showers listed by the IAU Meteor Data Centre when tested by permutation with seasonal observing biases accounted for.

AI-extracted[p. 23]
TRN-C121 · report 2026-09-10-inbox-transients-173613Observation

Two-step cluster analysis of the Earth-projected positions (35,786 km shell) of the 897 VASCO transients with ML probability ≥ 0.90 (Dec > 3°, 100° < RA < 250°) yields six clusters with an average silhouette value of 0.70.

AI-extracted[p. 8]
TRN-C125 · report 2026-09-10-inbox-transients-173613Observation

All 203 high-probability transients recorded the night before Castle Yankee project (at 35,786 km altitude) onto the Pacific hotspot regions west of Mexico and Central America, with none over the southwestern United States or the Gulf of Mexico.

AI-extracted[p. 11]
Plate forensics and copy genealogy2 ▸
The attribution ladder1 ▸